Timing
techniques come from technical analysis.
Technical
analysis indicates when to buy or sell a stock on the basis of its
price action. It complements fundamental analysis, which suggests
which stocks to buy on the basis of financial statements and future
business prospects.
Developed
for Futures Markets.
Stockscom's
techniques were originally developed for use in the commodity futures
markets and they form the basis for the Five Star Futures advisory
service. Colin Alexander describes these same techniques in his
book Five Star Futures Trades (Windsor Books). Five Star Futures
has been consistently ranked among the best futures advisory services
by Commodity Traders Consumers Report.
Proven with Computer Testing.
A
powerful computer program developed in-house delivers consistently
profitable results in all financial markets traded in North America.
The results for stock indexes, although derived only from data during
a major long-term bull market, show profitable trades exceeding
losers by more than 2:1, and profits exceeding losses by almost
4:1.
Combining Technical and Fundamental Analysis.
When
technical and fundamental analysis both support the same conclusions,
the results are likely to be spectacular. However, fundamental analysis
on its own does not necessarily lead to stocks where the action
is. A stock might look wonderful on the basis of its fundamentals
but in the real world more people may want to sell it than buy it.
So the stock goes down, not up. On the other hand, when there are
strong technical buy signals, it will likely be more rewarding to
buy that stock than to buy a blue chip with poor price action.
Market
timing works!
The
Value Line Investment service proves that. Their stocks, recommended
Number 1 for timeliness, have far outperformed the rest of the market
a thousand times over.
Four
Rules for Success Using Market Timing:
Rule 1. Buy stocks that show by market action that they can
go up. In recent years that has meant buying General Electric and
Wal-Mart, not General Motors and Woolworth.
Rule
2. Let your profits run and cut your losses. This rule sounds
so simple, so obvious. But it is the exact opposite of the methods
used by the investment industry! The reason why many individual
investors and most mutual funds don't make above-average returns
is that they constantly sell out their winners and then buy more
losers. They sell winners because they look expensive after they
go up, and they buy losers because they look cheap.
Rule
3. Keep an eye on the exit. No stock goes up forever. Every
deadbeat sector like steels has had its day in the sun. You absolutely
must avoid getting caught in a major bear market like the one we're
living through right now! The cycle between bull markets and bear
markets continues even today. No matter how long your long-term
view, you must not ride stocks down when the ship is sinking. In
the current bear market the NASDAQ index has declined over 60 percent!
Even in a bull market many great stocks decline by 90 percent or
more. Remember the great company Digital Equipment? It disintegrated
from $199.75 to $18.50, and this was a great company at the beginning
of the last bull market! Mutual funds will not protect you from
a bear market! They often go down with the ship. It happened in
1987. It happened in Asian stocks. It happened in gold stocks. It
is happening today with the most general stock funds and various
growth stock funds.
Rule
4. Don't take at face value what anyone tells you! And especially
not if they stand to make money from the advice they give you! Brokers
and mutual fund salespeople give bad advice for a pastime. They
may not do so intentionally but the bottom line is that they want
your business and that's how they make their living. You do not
find salespeople and brokers using the word sell until it's too
late. Always check their record - you
can check ours by clicking here.
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