Stockscom Report for Sunday Feb 26 2006

Publisher: Colin Alexander        Editor: Ken Wilson (450-691-4617)

Subscriptions and Administration: Pierre Fichaud (toll-free: 866-487-9711)

 

·        A bounce for stocks

 

 

 

Technically Speaking

 

While the bullish trend remains generally in place, several dark clouds loom on the horizon and threaten to end this early in the year party. The tech sector is specifically targeted and if we were to be even more specific, we would point to the Nasdaq-100, home of the 100 largest firms trading on Nasdaq, as being the weakest link in the chain. The last ten trading sessions have seen a marked withdrawal of players as volumes have shrunk appreciably. On a technical basis, the decreasing volumes signify the lack of confidence with the prevailing direction and, in this particular case, that direction has tended to be upward. Nevertheless, no technical damage has occurred to the bullish direction of equities as yet.

 

Unlike the Nasdaq-100, the Nasdaq Composite has demonstrated more internal strength evidently relying on the smaller partners of the index for that force. Still, in order to signal a continuation of the bullish trend, a move above 2300 is a must, for this level would top the peak of Feb 16 and set up a test of the late Jan highs. For now, the index is mired in a limited price range, which could eventually provoke a technical sell signal were the index to fall below 2250.

 

All of this apparent weakness contrasts sharply with the broader large cap indexes: the S&P-500 and the DJ-30. Both of these indexes have seen some slimming of volumes, however these instances have characteristically been down days, which technically constitute a bullish scenario. For the SP, the high reached in Jan rests less than 5 points north while the DJ, for its part, succeeded in marking a new four and a half year high on Wednesday of this week. Given their proximity to new highs, they don’t share the same traits as the Nasdaq and few would argue the bullishness in their charts.

 

Casting a glance at the smaller companies, the Russell small caps closed on Friday at a new high and the S&P Midcap market index is within range of an identical new high therefore it is perhaps ironic that the engine that was responsible for the parabolic rise in Nasdaq not so long ago, is in the shop for repairs. The largest companies on Nasdaq are the weakest links in the equities chain with the likes of Intel, Microsoft, and Dell all possible sells or, at best, moving laterally.

 

New Buy Recommendations (in order of preference):

 

Stereotaxis Inc. (STXS) – This small medical equipment firm has developed an advanced system for cardiology treatment that has been accepted in Europe and Canada and recently received much needed approval from the FDA. The chart experienced a strong rise in the month of Jan, but by the middle of the month, a retracement had begun. Thursday and Friday saw price action jump on very large volumes in response to news of its use and the upbeat forecast for the corporation in 2006. Together, these moves mark the end of the retracement and a resumption of the upward trend in price.

 

New Short Sales 

 

None.

 

Stock Positions to Sell/Exit:

 

None.

 

 

Portfolio Comments:

 

New stops have been added to the list while others have been modified. Those that have blanks, are being carried unstopped for now. Please see our complete list of stops in the table below.

 

List of Current Stock Recommendations:

Action Ratings. The following is the legend for designating immediate action
for our stock recommendations. The first is B, meaning the stock is timely
to buy but the case for doing so right here is not overwhelming. Either the
stock may have gotten ahead of itself and may be vulnerable to a retracement or
else the stock has been performing disappointingly but may simply be
regrouping. B+ and B++ indicate stocks for which there is a technical case
to buy now, with plusses adding weight according to how many there are, up
to a maximum of two. Stocks rated H are ones to hold, awaiting confirmation
to buy more or to sell. SELL, of course, means what it says. It seldom pays
to override this designation. In the case of stocks held short, the rating is S where positions should be retained. S+ and S++ indicate stocks for which there is a technical case to add to the positions with plusses adding weight similar to long positions. The maximum number of plus signs is 2.

N.B. There are no longer restrictions on foreign stocks held in Canadian retirement savings accounts.

 

 

Date of Entry

Name

Symbol

Entry Price

Current Price

Stop

Action Rating

11/21/05

Amer Sci & Eng

ASEI

71.08

74.91

 

B+

11/14/05

Birch Mtn Resour.

BMD

6.65

6.65

 

B

02/21/06

Cdn Natural Res

CNQ

58.00

56.12

 

H

01/09/06

Englobal Corp

ENG

10.86

10.62

 

H

01/17/06

Miramar Mining

MNG

2.50

2.72

 

B

01/30/06

Nasdaq Stock Mkt

NDAQ

45.98

41.04

 

H

01/09/06

Nuvelo Inc.

NUVO

12.95

17.57

 

B

01/09/06

Progenics Pharma

PGNX

29.70

29.20

 

H

12/12/05

Radiant Systems

RADS

13.78

14.60

 

B

11/07/05

Redback Networks

RBAK

11.78

19.40

 

B

01/09/06

Seabridge Gold

SA

9.49

7.79

 

H

01/09/06

Sierra Wireless

SWIR

13.60

11.97

 

H

11/21/05

Sigma Designs

SIGM

13.10

14.07

 

B

11/14/05

Tom Online

TOMO

20.66

22.09

 

B

03/08/04

Transcanada Corp

TRP

21.34

30.53

27.50

B

 

New stops in BOLD

* Stop on a closing basis

** Buy if above entry price

*** Split-adjusted price