Stockscom Report for
Publisher: Colin Alexander Editor: Ken Wilson (450-691-4617)
Subscriptions and Administration: Pierre Fichaud (toll-free:
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Questionable start to 2007
Technically Speaking
It is quite difficult to discern from this holiday-and-funeral-shortened week, a clear direction for stocks as we begin a new year. While the first trading day saw a phenomenal increase in volume on all three major indexes (four if one counts the Nasdaq-100 separate from the Composite which should be the case in our opinion), the near flat close gave no indication of investors’ attitudes and furthermore, were we to look at the second day of trading, we would be no more ahead. Incertitude appears to be the over-riding sentiment as we begin 2007.
If we expand our timeframe to weeks, our weekly charts offer some reference points to watch. Since November, the Nasdaq indexes have evolved into sideways patterns with support around 1750 on the ND-100 and 2370 on the Composite index. The sideways movement could continue but were that to happen we would expect that the trading range would widen to a certain degree for it appears too compressed in its current state. Interestingly, taking a wider view using the monthly chart, it shows these same support lines extending back to 2001.
On the Dow Jones Industrials the prime support line remains the previous high reached in 2000 corresponding roughly to the 11900 level. Given the fact that 12000 is a round figure, support may actually be stronger at this point than below however. For the moment, the Dow is garnering sufficient support from the 40-day moving average that other support levels are irrelevant.
There is a similar story with the S&P 500, which follows the DJ to a large degree. Friday’s close though has it touching its 40-day moving average and of particular concern to us is that it has slipped out of its upward moving channel that has guided prices since the July lows. A correction for all indexes is long overdue but this one may be the canary in a coalmine. Were the S&P to drop, we would expect that support at 1330 would limit losses.
New Buy Recommendations (in order of preference):
Barr Laboratories (
New Short Sales
None.
Stock Positions to Sell/Exit:
We sold ALY at its stop on Wednesday.
Portfolio Comments:
New stops have been added to the list while others have been modified. Those that have blanks are being carried unstopped for now. Please see our complete list of stops in the table below.
List of Current Stock Recommendations:
Action Ratings. The following is the legend for designating immediate action
for our stock recommendations. The first is B, meaning the stock is timely
to buy but the case for doing so right here is not overwhelming. Either the
stock may have gotten ahead of itself and may be vulnerable to a retracement or
else the stock has been performing disappointingly but may simply be
regrouping. B+ and B++ indicate stocks for which there is a technical case
to buy now, with plusses adding weight according to how many there are, up
to a maximum of two. Stocks rated H are ones to hold, awaiting confirmation
to buy more or to sell. SELL, of course, means what it says. It seldom pays
to override this designation. In the case of stocks held short, the rating is S
where positions should be retained. S+ and S++ indicate stocks for which there
is a technical case to add to the positions with plusses adding weight similar
to long positions. The maximum number of plus signs is 2.
N.B. There are no longer restrictions on foreign stocks held in Canadian retirement savings accounts.
|
Date of Entry |
Name |
Symbol |
Entry Price |
Current Price |
Stop |
Action Rating |
|
|
Allis-Chalmers |
ALY |
17.80 |
19.50 |
19.50 |
SOLD |
|
|
Cheniere Energy |
LNG |
29.15 |
27.29 |
25.80 |
H
|
|
|
Coca-Cola Co. |
KO |
46.75 |
48.26 |
47.00 |
B
|
|
|
Cognos Inc |
COGN |
35.20 |
42.71 |
38.00 |
B
|
|
|
Credence Systems |
CMOS |
5.02 |
4.99 |
4.50 |
H
|
|
|
Fronteer Dev’t Grp |
FRG |
9.53 |
8.40 |
7.25 |
H
|
|
|
Global Payments |
GPN |
43.80 |
41.50 |
41.50 |
SOLD |
|
|
Goodyear Tire |
GT |
18.00 |
23.28 |
19.00 |
B+
|
|
|
I-Flow Corp |
IFLO |
15.02 |
15.94 |
14.50 |
B
|
|
|
Isis Pharma. |
|
12.53 |
11.32 |
10.00 |
H
|
|
|
Millennium Pharm |
MLNM |
11.58 |
11.00 |
10.50 |
H
|
|
|
NYSE Group |
NYX |
96.50 |
102.39 |
90.00 |
B++
|
|
12/26/06 |
Qiao Xing U Tele |
|
13.67 |
12.73 |
11.85 |
H
|
|
11/06/06 |
Watts Industries |
WTS |
41.25 |
39.39 |
37.75 |
H
|
New stops in BOLD
* Stop on a closing basis
** Buy if above entry price
*** Split-adjusted
price